The price of flake Caustic Soda rose as a whole in 022. The average market price at the beginning of the year was about 3500 yuan/ton, and the average market price at the end of the year was 4783.33 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 36.67%. The lowest level in the year is about 3500 yuan/ton in early January, the highest level in the year is about 4866.67 yuan/ton on June 30, and the maximum amplitude in the year is 39.05%
In the first quarter, it rose rapidly and then fell back. At the beginning of January, the average price of flake caustic soda market was 3500 yuan/ton, rising to about 4400 yuan/ton on February 21, with a price increase of 25.71%. The price rose from January to February, mainly due to the tight supply of liquid caustic soda, which is good for flake caustic soda. The market transaction and investment are active, the supply of flake caustic soda market is not much, and the enterprises have many low inventories. In addition, the price rise of liquid caustic soda supports the price rise of flake caustic soda. The price of flake caustic soda decreased by 3933.33 yuan/ton from 4400 yuan/ton on February 21, and the price decreased by 10.61%. Because the early shipment is good, the flake caustic soda starts relatively high at this stage, but the downstream receiving is more ordinary than the early shipment, and the enterprise's shipment turns light.
In the second quarter, the price of flake caustic soda continued to rise at this stage. On April 1, the average market price of flake caustic soda was 3933.33 yuan/ton, and at the end of June, the average market price was 4866.67 yuan/ton, up 23.73%. At this stage, the flake caustic soda manufacturers have no inventory pressure, and due to the impact of public health events, the transportation is limited, the supply of goods in the market is tight, and the price of flake caustic soda is rising. In addition, the supply of liquid caustic soda is also tight. Some data show that the capacity of caustic soda maintenance devices in Shandong at this stage is about 1.07 million tons, accounting for about 10% of the total capacity in Shandong.
In the third quarter, the price of flake caustic soda at this stage showed a "W" trend. The price of flake caustic soda fell in July. At the beginning of July, the average market price of flake caustic soda was 4866.67 yuan/ton, and on July 31, the average market price of flake caustic soda was 4500 yuan/ton, down 7.53%. At present, the operating rate of flake caustic soda enterprises is high, and the market supply is increasing, but the demand side just needs to purchase, and the on-site purchasing atmosphere is light. On August 1, the average market price was 4466.67 yuan/ton. On August 28, the price of flake caustic soda was 4800 yuan/ton, up 7.46%. In northwest China, the supply side was overhauled by some enterprises. The market supply in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia was tight, the pre-sale time of enterprises was long, and the shipment of enterprises was smooth. From August 29 to the end of September, the price of flake caustic soda was consolidated, down from 4700 yuan/ton to 4666.67 yuan/ton. At this stage, the domestic flake caustic soda market was mainly stable and wait-and-see. The merchants had a certain bearish sentiment towards the future market, and the general market was maintained at this stage.
In the fourth quarter, after the price of flake caustic soda rose, it tended to consolidate. The average market price at the beginning of this quarter was 4666.67 yuan/ton, and the average market price at the end of this quarter was 4783.33 yuan/ton, up 2.5%. The main reason for the upward trend at this stage is that the price of flake caustic soda in northwest China has been supported to a certain extent due to the impact of public health events, traders have actively entered the market, and the trading atmosphere is good. 11. In December, the price of flake caustic soda tended to consolidate, and the workload of downstream parts of flake caustic soda decreased. The demand for flake caustic soda was average, and the downstream parts mainly needed to purchase, while the enterprise shipments were average.
In 2022, the price of caustic soda will rise and fall, fluctuating up and down into waves. According to the data, the price of caustic soda at the beginning of the year was about 1000 yuan/ton. On December 31, the price was about 1128 yuan/ton, up 12.8%. The lowest point of the year was 917.5 yuan/ton at the beginning of February, the highest point of the year was in the middle of October, the price was about 1332 yuan/ton, and the maximum amplitude of the year was 45.18%.
At this stage, the price of flake caustic soda is mainly stable, the market trading atmosphere is general, and the downstream is mostly purchased on demand. Enterprises have planned to prepare for procurement near the Spring Festival, but the supply and demand of both sides are playing games, and the procurement volume is also relatively limited. It is comprehensively estimated that the price of flake caustic soda in January may continue to fluctuate in a narrow range. However, as the weather turns warmer after the year, the starting load of downstream enterprises of flake caustic soda will be increased, and the demand for flake caustic soda may rise. The price may rise, depending on the downstream market demand.
